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Trade Alert - September 3, 2006

Recommended Portfolio Allocation Changes- This Week

Market Rally Triggers Bullish Allocations

In the past several weeks, the market has managed to claw itself out of quite a hole. As of last Friday's close, the market had improved enough to trigger a bullish increase in stock market allocations in most of our model portfolios. Note that while the models are all now technically fully invested, they remain on a defensive volatility setting. The models are still reading a significant degree of deterioration in the market's underlying technical condition.

The effect of the reduced volatility setting is to enforce a bias in the models' allocations to favor Large Cap stocks which are the least volatile sector. Even if the Small Cap, Mid Cap or OTC sectors improve enough in relative strength versus Large Caps to warrant an allocation, the reduced volatility setting will minimize the size of any allocations in these more volatile sectors.

Changes in the Growth Portfolio: This model is moving to a fully invested, bullish posture by increasing its previous 2/3rds allocation in LargeCap stocks to 100%. The reallocation requires the sale of the previous 1/3rd allocation in Bonds.

Changes in the Conservative Portfolio: This model is adding a new 33% allocation in a LargeCap stock fund. The previous 2/3rds allocation in Bonds is reduced by half and the Large Cap allocation is increased to 66%.

Model Portfolio: Conservative Portfolio

DECREASE________ Corporate Bond Fund

INCREASE ________ LargeCap Stock Fund

 

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Model Portfolio: Growth Portfolio

INCREASE _______ LargeCap Stock Fund

SELL ____________ Intermediate Bond Fund

 

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TopRecommended Portfolio Allocations

These are the new portfolio allocations, reflecting the changes above ...

Model Portfolio: Conservative Portfolio

66%        LargeCap Stock Fund

34%        Intermediate Corp. Bond Fund

 

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Model Portfolio: Growth Portfolio

100%        LargeCap Stock Fund

 

 

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TopModel Portfolio Details

The tables below provide the percentage allocation details and mutual fund ticker symbols for investors following the Model Portfolios by using funds from either of the Rydex Investments or ProFunds mutual fund companies -- or alternatively, investors using exchange traded funds (ETFs).

'Conservative Portfolio'

(A model portfolio that invests selectively in stock market index funds, a bond fund or money market funds, depending on current market trends for each type of investment. The allocation mix is designed to minimize potential losses while capturing most of the upside appreciation during strong, bull market conditions.)

Recommended Changes for this week Rydex Funds ProFunds ETFs
Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker
BUY LargeCap Fund 33% RYZAX 33% BLPIX 33% SPY
Corporate Bonds, or
Money Market Funds
Reduce Corporate Bond fund position by 1/2.

New Recommended Portfolio Allocations

Rydex Funds ProFunds ETFs
Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker
LargeCap Stock Fund 66% RYZAX 66% BLPIX 66% SPY
Corporate Bonds, or
Money Market Funds
34% Fidelity Investment Grade Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond Fund (ticker symbol FBNDX). ETF investors can use LQD or similar fund.


'Growth Portfolio'

(A model portfolio that invests selectively in stock market index funds, a bond fund or money market funds, depending on current market trends for each type of investment. The allocation mix is designed to avoid significant losses during bear markets and also beat the market during bull markets.)


Recommended Changes for this week Rydex Funds ProFunds ETFs
Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker
BUY LargeCap Fund 33% RYZAX 33% BLPIX 33% SPY
Corporate Bonds, or
Money Market Funds
Sell Corporate Bond Fund position.

New Recommended Portfolio Allocations Rydex Funds ProFunds ETFs
Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker
LargeCap Stock Fund 100% RYZAX 100% BLPIX 100% SPY
Corporate Bonds, or
Money Market Funds
none