Recommended Portfolio Allocation Changes- This Week
The S&P 500 Hits 4-Year Highs
There was good follow-through last week on the market's positive reversal the previous week when our indicators triggered a stepped-up bullish posture. There will likely be some profit-taking in the coming weeks but all of our technical indicators now say the bull is back.
We have only one change this week in an investment model:
In the Performance Xtender -- The model triggered a sale of our 20% position in Energy stocks. The Energy Complex, including crude oil, has lost positive momentum in recent weeks vs. the rest of the stock market. And crude oil may have signaled an intermediate top this past week that could usher in a multi-month correction. Energy stocks followed suit and also may have signaled a top. The model is reallocating the proceeds from the sale of Energy into a Large Cap stock fund.
There were three extremely positive developments this past week. First, the apparent reversal and breakdown in the price of crude oil should be very bullish for the market in the next several months. Second, technology stocks and the Nasdaq 100 Index had a huge move during the week. A stong technology sector should also be very bullish for the market. Third, the broadly-based S&P 500 Index made a very significant breakout in the market by establishing new 4-year highs. This accomplishment should also augur well for the market. And, across the board, most individual market sectors are now advancing nicely.
It was facinating to see the market's reaction to the terrorist bombings in London, since the market has been almost straight up since then. Such market behavior in the face of such bad news is another positive sign that this bull has at least one more good move left in him.
Model Portfolio: Performance Xtender
Recommended Portfolio Allocations
Model Portfolio: Performance Xtender
Model Portfolio Details
'Performance Xtender'
| Recommended Changes for this week | Rydex Funds | ProFunds | ETFs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allocation | Ticker | Allocation | Ticker | Allocation | Ticker | |
| SELL Energy Fund | 20% | RYEIX | 15% | ENPIX | 20% | XLE |
| BUY Large Cap Fund | 20% | RYZAX | 20% | BLPIX | 20% | SPY |
| Corporate Bonds Cash |
If you are following this Model Portfolio with ProFunds investments, you should use the remaining 5% money market balance to complete the trade. | |||||
| Current Recommended Portfolio Allocations | Rydex Funds | ProFunds | ETFs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allocation | Ticker | Allocation | Ticker | Allocation | Ticker | |
| LargeCap Fund | 40% | RYZAX | 40% | BLPIX | 40% | SPY |
| MidCap Fund | 40% | RYAVX | 40% | MDPIX | 40% | MDY |
| SmallCap Fund | 20% | RYAZX | 20% | SLPIX | 20% | IWM |
| Corporate Bonds Cash |
||||||
'Max Xtender'
| Recommended Changes for this week | Rydex Funds | ProFunds | ETFs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allocation | Ticker | Allocation | Ticker | Allocation | Ticker | |
| Corporate Bonds Cash |
- | |||||
| Current Recommended Portfolio Allocations | Rydex Funds | ProFunds | ETFs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allocation | Ticker | Allocation | Ticker | Allocation | Ticker | |
| Lev'd SmallCap Fund | 50% | RYTNX | 50% | UAPIX | 100% | IWM |
| Lev'd MidCap Fund | 50% | RYTNX | 50% | UMPIX | 100% | MDY |
| Corporate Bonds Cash |
NOTE: Rydex does not have leveraged SmallCap or MidCap funds. Therefore, their leveraged LargeCap fund (RYTNX) is substituted. ETF investors should be 100% margined in both IWM and MDY, for a fully invested 200% position. | |||||
