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Trade Alert - November 25, 2005

Recommended Portfolio Allocation Changes- This Week

The Hoped-For Fall Rally Materializes

We have waited all year for the market to break out of its trading range. It finally happened this past week as the market established 4-year new highs.

It seems that this latest round of buying is finally being driven by institutional demand for stocks. The institutions have played it conservatively all year, never really becoming overly bullish. But since recent years have witnessed a consistent "fall rally" pattern, institutional money managers have been hoping for a repeat this year. They are now piling into stocks with the expectation of being able to finish 2005 with a positive total return.

At this juncture, the market's challenge is to successfully "hold the breakout". We will likely see some weakness in the short term that "tests" the point of break-out which is at about 1245 on the S&P 500 Index. What we want to see is the market closing next week, and the week after that, at levels above 1245. If the market were to break down decisively below 1245, we would be looking at the possibility of another "failed breakout" which would be a very bearish development.

The market's action this past week triggered a bullish response in the Max Xtender model:

In the Max Xtender -- This model portfolio is moving to its most bullish posture, leveraged at 2 to 1. The model is keeping its previous 50/50 allocation between MidCap stocks and Over-the-Counter (OTC) stocks; but is moving from 1.5-times leverage to 2-times by switching out of the unleveraged OTC fund into the leveraged OTC fund. ETF investors should note that to achieve the same effect, they only need to margin their QQQQ investment by 2 to 1.


Model Portfolio: Performance Xtender

No Changes

 

 

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Model Portfolio: Max Xtender

SELL _______ Unleveraged OTC Fund

BUY ________Leveraged OTC Fund

 

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TopRecommended Portfolio Allocations

These are the new generic portfolio allocations, reflecting the changes above ...

Model Portfolio: Performance Xtender

40%        LargeCap Stock Fund

20%        Gold Stock Fund

40%        OTC Stock Fund

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Model Portfolio: Max Xtender

50%        Leveraged Mid Cap Fund

50%        Leveraged OTC Fund

 

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TopModel Portfolio Details

The tables below provide the percentage allocation details and mutual fund ticker symbols for investors following the Model Portfolios by using funds from either of the Rydex Investments or ProFunds mutual fund companies -- or alternatively, investors using exchange traded funds (ETFs).

'Performance Xtender'


Recommended Changes for this week Rydex Funds ProFunds ETFs
Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker
No Changes - - - - - -
Corporate Bonds, or
Cash
.

New Recommended Portfolio Allocations Rydex Funds ProFunds ETFs
Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker
LargeCap Stock Fund 40% RYZAX 40% BLPIX 40% SPY
Gold Stocks Fund 20% RYPMX 15% PMPIX 20% GLD
OTC Stock Fund 40% RYOCX 40% OTPIX 40% QQQQ
Corporate Bonds, or
Cash
Money Market Funds: ProFunds investors only should be holding a 5% allocation in Money Market.


'Max Xtender'


Recommended Changes for this week Rydex Funds ProFunds ETFs
Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker
SELL Unlev'd OTC 50% RYOCX 50% OTPIX 50% QQQQ
BUY Lev'd OTC 50% RYVYX 50% UOPIX 100% QQQQ
Corporate Bonds, or
Cash
ETF Investors: The QQQQ position should be leveraged with 2 to 1 margin.

New Recommended Portfolio Allocations Rydex Funds ProFunds ETFs
Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker Allocation Ticker
Lev'd MidCap Fund 50% RYTNX 50% UMPIX 100% MDY
Lev'd OTC Fund 50% RYVYX 50% UOPIX 100% QQQQ
Corporate Bonds, or
Cash
ETF Investors: Note that your QQQQ and MDY positions should be leveraged with margin 2 to 1 .