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A comparison of investment strategies:
which one is best for you?

One of our investment strategies could fit your particular needs.

The strategy comparison table and target investor profiles below should assist you in determining the possible suitability of our investment strategies for you and help narrow down your choice of a Model Portfolio. Then, we suggest you subscribe to a Trial Subscription. Since we do not provide individualized investment advice, we recommend you consult with a qualified financial advisor to help you determine suitability.

What Kind of Investor Do You Want to Be?

We offer different, generic Model Portfolio strategies to target the needs of different types of investors. The following discussion of Target Investor Profiles may prove helpful to you and/or an investment advisor in evaluating how each one of our generic strategies may, or may not, be suitable for your own situation.

Generally speaking, to determine what kind of investment strategy is best suited for your own special circumstances, you should be thinking about several key questions. Are you looking for regular, predictable income from your investments? Or are you prepared to take some risk in the shorter-term to achieve stronger portfolio growth over the long term in the form of capital gains? How much risk are you prepared to take ... specified as a percentage of the value of your portfolio? How long do you have until you may need the money? If you are investing for retirement 20 years from now, you can probably afford to take more risk than if you may need the money several years from now to buy a home, fund college expenses or provide a cushion during unemployment. Are you comfortable with the idea of an investment strategy that may take a "short" position in the stock market during Bear Market declines in order to make money? Do you have the investment sophistication to understand the potential benefits and pitfalls of such a strategy?

In any case, remember that our Model Portfolio strategies are designed to significantly reduce an investor's level of risk compared to the kinds of typical "growth" oriented portfolios recommended by many traditional investment advisors. To put the "Maximum Drawdown" statistics for our strategies into proper context, note that a Buy and Hold investor in an S&P 500 Index Fund would have suffered a 45% maximum drawdown of their portfolio value during the same time period. And the NASDAQ stock market index dropped more than 70% in value!

Even a traditionally "balanced" portfolio mix would have still exposed an investor to more risk than our Model Portfolio strategies. For example, a very common, balanced mix consisting of 40% bonds, 30% large-cap stocks and 30% small-cap stocks would have suffered about a 17% maximum drawdown in value.

We have a strong belief that many investors with traditional balanced investment portfolios are taking much more risk than they realize ... and their portfolio losses during Bear Markets can become so painful that they bail out -- often at the worse time! Steady discipline exercised by an investor can translate into stronger returns over the longer-term. And we believe that designing investment portfolios for low to moderate risk tolerance can help most investors maintain a disciplined approach through the ups and downs of the market.

Target “Investor Profiles” for each investment strategy

Benchmark Series – Growth Portfolio

Target Investor Profile:
  • Small to medium sized investment portfolio
  • Moderate tolerance for risk (a potential for a short-term 10% to 15% loss) but probably a less sophisticated investor
  • May need guidance for 401k or 403b investments
  • 5 to 30 year Investment Time Horizon
  • Looking to improve longer term portfolio growth through capital gains
  • Not much time to manage investments
Benchmark Series – Conservative Portfolio

Target Investor Profile:
  • 3 to 10 year Investment Time Horizon
  • Very low tolerance for risk (a potential for a short-term 5% to 7% loss)
  • May need guidance for 401k or 403b investments
  • Looking for moderate portfolio growth through capital gains with low risk but not for predictable income
  • Not much time to manage investments
Performance Extension Series – Performance Xtender

Target Investor Profile:
  • Medium to large sized investment portfolio
  • 5 to 30 year Investment Time Horizon
  • Moderate tolerance for risk (a potential for a short-term 10% to 15% loss) and is probably a more sophisticated investor
  • Looking to maximize long term portfolio growth through capital gains without taking excessive risk
  • Not much time to manage investments
  • Wants to take advantage of Bear Markets
Performance Extension Series - Max Xtender

Target Investor Profile:
  • Medium to large sized investment portfolio
  • 5 to 30 year Investment Time Horizon
  • A high tolerance for risk and a very sophisticated investor
  • Looking for speculative returns in a component of their investment portfolio
  • Not much time to manage investments
  • Looking to take maximal advantage of both Bull and Bear Markets in the U.S. through the use of leverage

Review the table below to help determine the best investment strategy

Now take a look at the Strategy ComparisonTable below and review each of Confident Strategies’® Model Portfolios. You and/or an investment advisor should be able to zero in on which generic strategies may be the best fit for you, given your investment situation, preferences and needs. For example:
  • If you are a small investor ... you will most likely want to look at the two "Benchmark Series" investment strategies..
  • If you want the highest returns and have an appetite for risk ... you might look to the Max Xtender Model.
  • If you want to improve your 401k or 403b plan performance ... the two "Benchmark Series" strategies may be most suitable for you because their more limited investment options will likely fit within your plan.
  • If you want to maximize returns with a moderate amount of risk ... you may want to consider the Performance Xtender Model..

Use the Maximum Drawdown statistic to help match a strategy with your risk tolerance.  The Maximum Drawdown statistic in the table below specifies the largest "Peak to Trough " loss experienced by each strategy (on an end-of-month basis).  Since the last 9-year period included a severe 3-year bear market, the recorded Maximum Drawdown for each strategy should provide a good indication of the relative riskiness of each strategy compared to alternatives.

  • "Buy and Hold" Maximum Drawdown:  An investor holding an S&P 500 Index Fund during the same period would have experienced a Maximum Drawdown of approximately -45.1% (on a month-end basis).

We recommend that you read our What is Maximum Drawdown discussion and understand that you should decide what your own unique risk tolerance is and express it in terms of a percentage.  If you do this, it becomes straightforward for you and/or a financial advisor to compare your risk tolerance percentage with the Maximum Drawdown percentage on each strategy alternative.  Making this comparison may help you to determine which strategy is the best fit for your own risk tolerance.

Strategy Comparison Table
12/31/07 9-Year Average Annualized Return Maximum Drawdown Account Type Suitability Frequency Of Trades Investment Objective Minimum Account Size
Benchmark Series
Growth Portfolio 12.1 % - 10.7% loss 401(k), IRAs, Taxable Brokerage 10 / yr Growth $1,000
Conservative Portfolio 8.7 % - 5.2% loss 401(k), IRAs, Taxable Brokerage 7 / yr Conservative Growth $1,000
Performance Extension Series
Performance Xtender 20.2 % - 8.5% loss IRAs, Taxable Brokerage 14 / yr Growth With Hedging $15,000
Max Xtender 31.6 % - 31.5% loss IRAs, Taxable Brokerage 8 / yr

Speculative

Growth

$25,000